In a political climate that has made the French president François Hollande the most unpopular in recent French history, the ex-president Nicolas Sarkozy is expected by many of the UMP members to say that he will be a candidate to head the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP) as well as a candidate for the presidential elections in 2017.

François Hollande with the most unpopular rate for a French president (16 per cent of the population asked is in favour of him) is serving the second year of his five-year presidency with difficulty. The unemployment rate is about 9.7 per cent in France, compared to Germany’s 5.1 per cent and 6.8 per cent for the United Kingdom. At the beginning of his presidency, Hollande promised the French population that he would reverse the unemployment curve and rescue France from the mistakes of ex-President Nicolas Sarkozy. However, two years later, little has changed and the French population regret having voted for him given the country’s present situation.

Moreover, the political party UMP has been affected by a case of false invoices that led to the resignation of the president of the party Jean-François Copé. At the moment, a triumvirate is in place until the next election in which Mr Sarkozy is expected to take over. At the end of August and at the beginning of September, two meetings which will gather a lot of UMP supporters will take place in Le Touquet-Paris-Plage and in Nice. Nicolas Sarkozy will most likely attend one of these meetings to confirm whether he will return to politics.

An interview with Mr Sarkozy took place in his villa in Cap Nègre by the magazine Valeurs Actuelles; in this interview Sarkozy said: ‘The hardest [part] in life, it is not the decision to return, but the departure’. Thus suggesting that anything can be expected: be that a return or a decision to end his political career.